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Will putting Russia on the TIP's Tier 3 watch list really help their human trafficking problem?
Wiki User
∙ 13y ago
Yes and no. Will it help? Probably. Will it help a lot? Probably not.
Russia has been on Tier 3 once before, in 2002. In response, they passed a major law criminalizing human trafficking; this led to them being taken off of Tier 3 and back onto the Tier 2 Watchlist. However, they're still on the Tier 2 Watchlist because they are having major problems enforcing the law.
Russia has severe systemic problems that prevent effective enforcement, such as organized crime, political problems, and rampant police corruption. As such, it is very unlikely that they can "solve" the human trafficking problem without major structural reforms.
However, the 2002 experience (and that of other nations) illustrates the Tier 3 is a useful motivator. When a country is places on Tier 3, they have 90 days before sanctions are applied. The threat of sanctions provides a strong internal motivation (among investors, etc) to get the government to shape up.
In sum, Tier 3 is unlikely to do a lot for Russia, but every little bit of motivation is probably good.
(There are also some potential drawbacks, such as the effect on anti-trafficking NGOs if sanctions were applied. But that's a different question.)
Wiki User
∙ 13y ago
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